Toluca vs Querétaro analysis

Toluca Querétaro
83 ELO 79
5.1% Tilt -8.4%
333º General ELO ranking 858º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
61.6%
Toluca
21.8%
Draw
16.6%
Querétaro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
Toluca
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.6%
Win probability
Querétaro
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+23%
-4%
Querétaro

ELO progression

Toluca
Querétaro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2017
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 0
Toluca
TOL
40%
26%
33%
84 81 3 0
16 Apr. 2017
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
Monterrey
MON
49%
24%
28%
84 83 1 0
14 Apr. 2017
TOL
Toluca
0 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
84 80 4 0
09 Apr. 2017
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 1
Toluca
TOL
45%
25%
30%
84 80 4 0
02 Apr. 2017
TOL
Toluca
2 - 0
Necaxa
NEC
66%
20%
14%
83 76 7 +1

Matches

Querétaro
Querétaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2017
QRO
Querétaro
2 - 2
Jaguares FC
JAG
63%
22%
15%
79 69 10 0
16 Apr. 2017
AME
América
1 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
57%
24%
19%
79 84 5 0
13 Apr. 2017
QRO
Querétaro
0 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
43%
26%
31%
80 81 1 -1
09 Apr. 2017
QRO
Querétaro
1 - 4
Atlas FC
ATS
60%
23%
17%
80 74 6 0
03 Apr. 2017
SAN
Santos Laguna
1 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
49%
24%
27%
80 79 1 0