Toluca vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NEC
3 - 1
TOL
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 3
LEO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
QRO
1 - 1
AME
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 3
QRO
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ATS
2 - 1
QRO
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
QRO
1 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
QRO
3 - 1
LOB
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |