Toluca vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
4 - 3
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
SNL
2 - 1
QRO
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
QRO
1 - 0
CAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 0
QRO
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
QRO
1 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
QRO
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |