Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 0
LEO
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
PUM
4 - 3
CAZ
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
PUM
0 - 3
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 1
PUM
55%
24%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PUM
3 - 1
TIJ
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 2
PUM
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |