Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
4 - 0
QRO
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ATS
2 - 0
TOL
18%
25%
58%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TIJ
0 - 1
PUM
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PUM
3 - 3
TIG
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 2
PUM
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |