Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NEC
3 - 1
TOL
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 3
LEO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 0
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
PUM
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 0
ATS
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
PUM
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HNP
2 - 1
PUM
20%
22%
59%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |