Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis

Toluca Pumas UNAM
84 ELO 81
6.7% Tilt -4.9%
332º General ELO ranking 399º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
55.3%
Toluca
23.1%
Draw
21.7%
Pumas UNAM

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
Toluca
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
Pumas UNAM
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+23%
-11%
Pumas UNAM

ELO progression

Toluca
Pumas UNAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2016
NEC
Necaxa
3 - 1
Toluca
TOL
29%
27%
44%
84 76 8 0
29 Sep. 2016
TOL
Toluca
4 - 3
León
LEO
58%
22%
20%
84 80 4 0
25 Sep. 2016
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
León
LEO
56%
23%
21%
84 80 4 0
21 Sep. 2016
CAZ
Cruz Azul
0 - 1
Toluca
TOL
39%
27%
34%
84 82 2 0
17 Sep. 2016
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
61%
23%
16%
84 81 3 0

Matches

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2016
PUM
Pumas UNAM
1 - 0
Jaguares FC
JAG
67%
19%
14%
81 72 9 0
25 Sep. 2016
AME
América
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
54%
24%
23%
81 84 3 0
22 Sep. 2016
PUM
Pumas UNAM
2 - 0
Atlas FC
ATS
68%
20%
13%
81 74 7 0
19 Sep. 2016
SAN
Santos Laguna
3 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
46%
25%
29%
82 80 2 -1
16 Sep. 2016
HNP
Honduras Progreso
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
20%
22%
59%
82 61 21 0