Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 3
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PUM
2 - 2
TIG
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AME
0 - 1
PUM
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 2
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 1
TIJ
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
PUM
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |