Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 4
TOL
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
PAC
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
SNL
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
PUM
0 - 3
QRO
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 0
PUM
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 1
PUM
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
PUM
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
PUM
0 - 1
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |