Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
5 - 0
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 2
TIJ
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
PUM
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
QRO
2 - 1
PUM
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 1
ATS
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |