Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
TOL
4 - 3
CHI
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 0
IND
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
37%
28%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 5
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PUM
0 - 3
CAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
ATS
1 - 0
PUM
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 2
PUM
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 0
PAC
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 2
PUE
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |