Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
JAG
0 - 0
TOL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
44%
28%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SNL
3 - 2
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PUM
3 - 0
TIG
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 2
PUM
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PUM
3 - 2
ATS
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |