Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 0
TOL
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
EST
2 - 3
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUM
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
JAG
0 - 0
TOL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 0
TOL
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
PAC
1 - 1
PUM
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PUM
8 - 0
VER
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUM
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |