Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
QRO
0 - 0
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
52%
26%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 2
CHI
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 0
JAG
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
VER
2 - 1
PUM
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PUM
0 - 0
ATS
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
PUM
0 - 1
PAC
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
1 - 1
PUM
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |