Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAP
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
JAG
2 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
AME
1 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 1
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
OLI
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
SCI
3 - 2
PUM
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
PUM
0 - 1
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
ATS
0 - 0
PUM
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PUM
1 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
PUM
1 - 2
SCI
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |