Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOL
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 3
ATL
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
NEC
3 - 0
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
TOL
4 - 1
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 0
TOL
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 3
MON
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 0
PUM
27%
26%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
PUM
1 - 3
CUE
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
PUM
2 - 1
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 0
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |