Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis

Toluca Pumas UNAM
82 ELO 80
2.3% Tilt -9.3%
331º General ELO ranking 399º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
64.8%
Toluca
18.9%
Draw
16.3%
Pumas UNAM

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
Toluca
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.3%
Win probability
Pumas UNAM
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+22%
-10%
Pumas UNAM

ELO progression

Toluca
Pumas UNAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2002
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 2
Toluca
TOL
63%
20%
17%
82 84 2 0
13 Apr. 2002
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Reboceros de la Piedad
REB
72%
16%
12%
82 73 9 0
06 Apr. 2002
TOL
Toluca
5 - 1
Atlas FC
ATS
61%
20%
20%
81 78 3 +1
30 Mar. 2002
AUR
Atl. San Luis
2 - 1
Toluca
TOL
28%
27%
45%
82 70 12 -1
23 Mar. 2002
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
55%
22%
23%
81 82 1 +1

Matches

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2002
PUM
Pumas UNAM
1 - 0
Necaxa
NEC
49%
23%
28%
79 81 2 0
14 Apr. 2002
LEO
León
2 - 4
Pumas UNAM
PUM
32%
27%
41%
79 70 9 0
10 Apr. 2002
PUE
Puebla
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
39%
27%
34%
79 73 6 0
07 Apr. 2002
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
37%
24%
40%
78 84 6 +1
31 Mar. 2002
REB
Reboceros de la Piedad
3 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
36%
27%
37%
79 71 8 -1