Toluca vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
VER
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ATS
2 - 1
PUE
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PUE
3 - 0
JAG
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 0
ZAC
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 1
ATS
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |