Toluca vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VER
3 - 0
TOL
28%
28%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 2
SAN
45%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
ATL
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
PUE
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
PUE
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 0
PUE
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
MER
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |