Toluca vs Puebla analysis

Toluca Puebla
84 ELO 78
7.4% Tilt -9%
332º General ELO ranking 1332º
Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
61.1%
Toluca
22.4%
Draw
16.6%
Puebla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
Toluca
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.6%
Win probability
Puebla
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+22%
-17%
Puebla

ELO progression

Toluca
Puebla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2015
VER
Veracruz
3 - 0
Toluca
TOL
28%
28%
45%
84 74 10 0
18 Feb. 2015
ATL
Atlante FC
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
28%
27%
45%
84 71 13 0
15 Feb. 2015
TOL
Toluca
2 - 2
Santos Laguna
SAN
45%
24%
30%
84 84 0 0
08 Feb. 2015
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
39%
27%
34%
84 80 4 0
04 Feb. 2015
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Atlante FC
ATL
67%
20%
14%
84 72 12 0

Matches

Puebla
Puebla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2015
MOR
CA Morelia
1 - 2
Puebla
PUE
50%
26%
25%
78 79 1 0
18 Feb. 2015
MER
Venados FC
0 - 2
Puebla
PUE
38%
25%
37%
78 70 8 0
15 Feb. 2015
PUE
Puebla
2 - 0
Monterrey
MON
40%
27%
33%
78 80 2 0
08 Feb. 2015
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 0
Puebla
PUE
61%
23%
16%
78 84 6 0
04 Feb. 2015
PUE
Puebla
2 - 1
Venados FC
MER
58%
24%
19%
78 69 9 0