Toluca vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
QRO
0 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
5 - 0
EST
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PUE
4 - 1
CAZ
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
ATS
0 - 2
PUE
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 2
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
PUE
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 1
AME
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |