Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 2-8
Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
38%
24%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
TOL
58%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
4 - 3
SAN
41%
24%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 0
JUA
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
5 - 2
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 1
TIG
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TIG
1 - 0
PAC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PAC
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |