Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 3
PUM
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TIJ
1 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 3
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATS
59%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
1 - 0
PUE
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAZ
3 - 1
PAC
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 0
TIG
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
3 - 1
MER
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |