Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 2
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PAC
2 - 2
TIJ
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
REB
0 - 3
PAC
18%
23%
59%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 1
PAC
30%
26%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
PAC
3 - 0
UDG
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PAC
0 - 3
ATS
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |