Liga MX Finals - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
PAC
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 0
MON
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 0
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TIG
1 - 2
PAC
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |