CONCACAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SNL
2 - 3
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 2
COC
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 3
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
COC
2 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AME
2 - 2
PAC
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 1
COM
80%
13%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PAC
0 - 3
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
PAC
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |