Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOL
30%
28%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
PAC
2 - 0
EST
58%
23%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 1
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
PUM
2 - 3
PAC
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 2
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |