Toluca vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
JUA
2 - 2
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 2
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NEC
2 - 0
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 0
NEC
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 0
PUM
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 1
TIG
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
NEC
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |