Toluca vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 4
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
TOR
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NEC
2 - 2
JAG
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 1
ATS
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
UAP
1 - 2
NEC
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |