Toluca vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
QRO
0 - 5
TOL
27%
28%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 0
MOR
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
QRO
1 - 0
NEC
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
ATS
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 0
NEC
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |