Toluca vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LEO
0 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
TOL
2 - 4
PAC
60%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
TOL
2 - 0
CHI
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 0
PUE
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
CAZ
4 - 0
NEC
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 0
CAZ
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
LEO
2 - 1
NEC
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 1
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |