Toluca vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TIG
3 - 0
TOL
44%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
LOB
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 2
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 2
TIJ
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
LEO
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
ATS
0 - 1
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 2
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 0
TIJ
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |