Toluca vs CA Morelia analysis

Toluca CA Morelia
83 ELO 80
5.2% Tilt -8.8%
332º General ELO ranking 1551º
Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
60.2%
Toluca
21.6%
Draw
18.2%
CA Morelia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
Toluca
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.2%
Win probability
CA Morelia
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+23%
+15%
CA Morelia

ELO progression

Toluca
CA Morelia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2017
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
Atlante FC
ATL
74%
17%
9%
84 66 18 0
22 Oct. 2017
TIG
Tigres UANL
3 - 0
Toluca
TOL
44%
26%
29%
84 83 1 0
19 Oct. 2017
PAC
Pachuca
2 - 2
Toluca
TOL
46%
26%
29%
84 82 2 0
12 Oct. 2017
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Lobos BUAP
LOB
70%
18%
12%
84 73 11 0
01 Oct. 2017
TOL
Toluca
1 - 2
América
AME
54%
23%
23%
84 82 2 0

Matches

CA Morelia
CA Morelia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2017
MOR
CA Morelia
2 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
50%
25%
25%
80 80 0 0
21 Oct. 2017
MOR
CA Morelia
0 - 0
León
LEO
44%
25%
31%
80 82 2 0
18 Oct. 2017
ATS
Atlas FC
0 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
40%
27%
33%
80 78 2 0
15 Oct. 2017
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 2
CA Morelia
MOR
44%
27%
29%
80 81 1 0
30 Sep. 2017
MOR
CA Morelia
3 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
48%
25%
27%
79 80 1 +1