Toluca vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
AME
7 - 2
TOL
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
DCU
1 - 3
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
17%
26%
57%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 3
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 2
MOR
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
5 - 0
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
SNL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
MOR
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |