Toluca vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 2
TOL
42%
24%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 2
TIG
70%
16%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
TOL
4 - 3
SAN
70%
16%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
AME
0 - 4
TOL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
SNL
2 - 3
TOL
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
MON
3 - 1
MOR
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 0
AUR
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
MOR
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
MOR
4 - 2
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |