Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PAC
3 - 2
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
ATS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 1
VER
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
KCW
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
MON
5 - 0
KCW
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
CAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TIJ
1 - 0
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 0
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
TIG
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |