Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 3
AME
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VER
3 - 2
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
ALE
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
QRO
3 - 1
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
TIJ
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 2
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
PUE
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |