Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 3
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
QRO
0 - 1
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
AUR
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
MON
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |