Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PUM
0 - 2
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 3
MON
12%
20%
67%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
QRO
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
ALT
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 1
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |