Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIJ
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 0
TOL
31%
29%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
ATS
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
GAL
1 - 2
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
PUM
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TIJ
2 - 2
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
CHI
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
LEO
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |