Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 6
MOR
52%
26%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AME
4 - 3
TOL
48%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
QRO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |