Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
3 - 0
CIE
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 2
PAC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MON
2 - 0
JAG
54%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
MON
34%
26%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MON
2 - 0
ATS
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TIG
3 - 3
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MON
3 - 2
SNL
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |