Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
TOL
5 - 1
PUM
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOL
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 3
ATL
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
NEC
3 - 0
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
MON
1 - 0
CUE
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
MON
2 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 3
MON
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
MON
4 - 2
MOR
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 1
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |