Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
PUE
0 - 0
TOL
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 2
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
TOL
3 - 1
LEO
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2001 |
TOL
0 - 1
OLI
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1999 |
TOL
0 - 1
LDA
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
MON
1 - 1
NEC
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
LEO
1 - 0
MON
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 3
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
BVS
2 - 0
MON
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |