Toluca vs Mineros de Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
AME
4 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIJ
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ZAC
2 - 0
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 1
ZAC
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TAM
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
UAP
2 - 1
ZAC
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ZAC
3 - 0
UAT
48%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |