Toluca vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 1
LEO
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
IRA
1 - 0
MER
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MER
4 - 2
ALE
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 0
MER
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UAT
3 - 2
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |