Toluca vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 2
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 2
QRO
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
TOL
4 - 0
UDG
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LOB
0 - 3
LEO
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 2
LOB
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
LOB
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LOB
1 - 3
MOR
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TIG
3 - 2
LOB
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |