Toluca vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
VER
2 - 2
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOL
25%
27%
49%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LOB
2 - 0
JUA
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
TIJ
1 - 1
LOB
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 1
LOB
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOL
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
UAP
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |