Toluca vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
TIJ
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TIG
1 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 0
AME
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
3 - 0
LEO
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
ZAC
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LEO
4 - 0
QRO
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |