Toluca vs León analysis

Toluca León
84 ELO 80
3.9% Tilt -6.3%
332º General ELO ranking 384º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
55.9%
Toluca
22.7%
Draw
21.4%
León

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
Toluca
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.4%
Win probability
León
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+23%
-7%
León

ELO progression

Toluca
León
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2016
CAZ
Cruz Azul
0 - 1
Toluca
TOL
39%
27%
34%
84 82 2 0
17 Sep. 2016
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
61%
23%
16%
84 81 3 0
15 Sep. 2016
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
58%
22%
20%
84 80 4 0
12 Sep. 2016
PUE
Puebla
0 - 2
Toluca
TOL
41%
26%
33%
84 80 4 0
28 Aug. 2016
TOL
Toluca
2 - 2
CA Morelia
MOR
57%
23%
20%
84 79 5 0

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2016
LEO
León
0 - 0
Jaguares FC
JAG
68%
18%
14%
80 72 8 0
18 Sep. 2016
AME
América
0 - 2
León
LEO
57%
22%
20%
80 84 4 0
11 Sep. 2016
LEO
León
4 - 1
Atlas FC
ATS
63%
21%
16%
80 75 5 0
29 Aug. 2016
SAN
Santos Laguna
1 - 0
León
LEO
50%
24%
26%
80 80 0 0
24 Aug. 2016
LEO
León
1 - 3
Atlante FC
ATL
72%
17%
11%
80 68 12 0