Toluca vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
TIJ
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
JAG
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AME
0 - 2
LEO
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 1
ATS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
LEO
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |