Toluca vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAÑ
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ATS
1 - 2
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TOL
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
UAT
78%
15%
8%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
UAT
1 - 3
LEO
23%
23%
54%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 4
LEO
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
TIG
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |