Toluca vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
LDA
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TIJ
3 - 1
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
LDA
0 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
TIG
54%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 3
LEO
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
QRO
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 1
LEO
26%
28%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 1
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |